The result of the elections confirmed one thing: Politics and Math don't like each other :) The result was a surprise for everyone and I'm going to analyze it. Instead below I'm posting the original prediction for the members of the parliament, corrected based on the current results (there are still some decisions that can change).
Tirana District
- Pandeli Majko - PS, 245,000 results
- Sali Berisha - PD, 4,080,000 results
- Saimir Tahiri - PS, 125,000 results
- Myqerem Tafaj - PD, 72,200 results
- Vasilika Hysi - PS, 42,600 results
- Majlinda Bregu - PD, 264,000 results
- Ditmir Bushati - PS, 152,000 results
- Halim Kosova - PD, 108,000 results
- Fatmir Xhafaj - PS, 48,400 results
- Florion Mima - PD, 13,600 results
- Ilir Meta - LSI, 1,260,000 results
- Gerti Bogdani - PD, 113,000 results
- Lindita Nikolla - PS, 26,700 results
- Dashamir Shehi - LZHK1,,42,500 results
- Besnik Baraj - PS, 39,500 results
- Jorida Tabaku - PD, 40,800 results
- Xhemal Qefalia - PS, 18,900 results
- Edi Paloka - PD, 49,400 results
- Sadri Abazi - PS, 16,600 results
- Keltis Kruja - PD, 12,600 results
- Parid Cara - PS, 21,000 results
- Kastriot Islami - PD, 347,000 results
- Spartak Braho - LSI2, 23,800 results
- Asllan Dogjani - PD, 54,000 results, Klajda Gjosha - LSI
- Artan Gaci - PS, 37,800 results
- Visar Zhiti - PD, 279,000 results, Luan Rama - LSI
- Pjerin Ndreu - PS, 40,900 results
- Ylli Shehu - PR, 22,100 results or Arben Qirjako - PD, 10,400 results or Shkelqim Barushi- LZHK, 51 results
- Rakip Suli - PS, 31,800 results
- Ylli Shehu - PR, 22,100 results or Arben Qirjako - PD, 10,400 results or Shkelqim Barushi- LZHK, 51 results, Tahir Muhedini - PDIU
- Milena Harito - PS, 31,100 results or Klajda Gjosha - LSI, 93,900 results or Gentian Deliallisi - PD, 412 results or Kreshnik Spahiu - AK, 507,000 results or Bamir Topi - FRD, 1,090,000 results. Outside chance for Skender Gjinushi - PSD, 88,500 results or Evjeni Kota - PBDNJ, 172 results or Tahir Muhedini - PDIU, 25,200 results
- Milena Harito - PS, 31,100 results or Dashamir Peza - PS, 13,200 results or Klajda Gjosha - LSI, 93,900 results or Gentian Deliallisi - PD, 412 results or Kreshnik Spahiu - AK, 507,000 results or Bamir Topi - FRD, 1,090,000 results. Outside chance for Skender Gjinushi - PSD, 88,500 results or Evjeni Kota - PBDNJ, 172 results or Tahir Muhedini - PDIU, 25,200 results
Fieri District
- Gramoz Ruci - PS, 93,700 results
- Sokol Olldashi - PD, 242,000 results
- Erion Brace - PS, 45,900 results
- Mesila Doda - PD, 98,100 results
- Eglantina Gjermeni - PS, 35,700 results
- Ilirjan Celibashi - PS, 19,500 results
- Kosma Dashi - PD, 7 results
- Armando Subashi - PS, 25,300 results
- Shpetim Idrizi - PDIU1, 218,000 results
- Arben Cuko - PS, 19,600 results
- Petrit Vasili - LSI, 109,000 results
- Bedri Mihaj - PD, 5,770 results, Robert Bitri - LSI
- Piro Lutaj - PS, 22,800 results
- Omer Mamo - PDIU, 8,250 results. Outside chance for Dritan Prifti, 175,000 results, Eduart Sharka - PR, 580 results, Kadri Gega - LZHK, 1,480 results, Altin Dauti - AK, 3,570 results, Shpetim Axhani - PLL, 549 results
- Majlinda Bufi - PS, 1,590 results
- Ervin Koci - PS, 14,800 results or Myslim Murrizi - PD, 5,110 results
Elbasan District
- Ben Blushi - PS, 136,000 results
- Arben Imami - PD, 542,000 results
- Damian Gjiknuri - PS, 66,000 results
- Eduard Selami - PD, 141,000 results
- Evis Kushi - PS, 23,000 results
- Ardian Turku - PD, 18,800 results
- Alfred Peza - PS, 128,000 results
- Luciano Boci - PD, 81,110 results
- Taulant Balla - PS, 189,000 results
- Dashnor Sula - PD, 29,000 results, Bujar Kllogjri - LSI
- Edmond Haxhinasto - LSI, 229,000 results
- Arbjola Halimi - PD, 2,700 results, Aqif Rakipi - PDIU
- Musa Ulqini - PS, 17,900 results
- Aurel Bylykbashi - PD, 16,000 results or Arben Kamami - PS, 2,670 results. Outside chance for Luan Duzha - PR, 8,690 results, or Ramazan Braho - PAA, 1 result or Rezart Kovaci - PDK, 981 results.
Durres District
- Eduard Halimi - PD, 159,000 results
- Blendi Klosi - PS, 108,000 results
- Igli Cara - PD, 26,600 results
- Klodiana Spahiu - PS, 73,700 results
- Albana Vokshi - PD, 36,400 results
- Ilir Beqaj - PS, 9,590 results
- Gent Strazimiri - PD, 18,300 results
- Lefter Koka - LSI, 69,700 results
- Oerd Bylykbashi - PD, 20,200 results
- Namik Dokle - PS, 77,100 results
- Osman Metalla - PD, 21,400 results, Artur Bushi - PS
- Gentian Bejko - PS, 6,200 results
- Vullnet Topalli - PD, 8,810 results or Agron Duka - PR, 52,200 results. Outside chance for Gazmend Oketa - FRD, 134,000 results.
Korce District
- Bashkim Fino - PS, 149,000 results
- Ridvan Bode - PD, 148,000 results
- Arta Dade - PS, 128,000 results
- Eleina Qirici - PD, 3,050 results
- Olta Xhacka - PS, 15,900 results
- Edmond Spaho - PD, 19,600 results
- Ilirian Pendavinji - PS, 3,320 results
- Fatmir Mehdiu - PR1, 211,000 results
- Ilir Xhakolli - PS, 12,300 results
- Gjergji Papa - PD, 9,470 results
- Ylli Zicishti - PS, 29,800 results or Piro Kapurani - LSI, 2,530 results
- Fatbardh Kadilli - PD, 22,400 results or Ardit Konomi - PS, 4,320 results or Ylli Zicishti - PS, 29,800 results or Piro Kapurani - LSI, 2,530 results
Vlore District
- Edi Rama - PS, 3,380,000 results
- Astrit Patozi - PD, 89,600 results
- Valentina Leskaj - PS, 67,200 results
- Koco Kokedhima - PS, 20,100 results
- Arben Ristani - PD, 73,800 results
- Luiza Xhuvani - PS, 111,000 results
- Liljana Elmazi - PD, 3,630 results
- Fatmri Toci - PS, 36,300 results
- Andrea Marto - PBDNJ2, 4,940 results
- Dashamir Tahiri - PDIU, 52,900 results
- Vangjel Dule - PBDNJ, 121,000 results. Outside chance for Arben Malaj, 797,000 results or Shkelqim Selami - LSI, 5,690 results or Engjell Bejtaj - PSD, 3,220 results
- Ardian Kollozi - PD, 31,400 results, Shkelqim Selami - LSI
Shkoder District
- Jozefina Topalli - PD, 705,000 results
- Mimoza Hafizi - PS, 12,200 results
- Helidon Bushati - PD, 5,820 results
- Voltana Ademi - PD, 6,100 results
- Tom Doshi - PS, 79,300 results
- Nard Ndoka - PDK1, 153,000 results
- Paulin Sterkaj - PS, 20,600 results
- Gjovalin Bzhetaj - PD, 365 results
- Ndue Paluca - PD, 8,360 results, Agron Cela - LSI
- Namik Kopliku - PS, 5,020 results. Outside chance Agron Cela - LSI, 6,470 results.
- Bardh Spahia - PD, 23,200 results. Outside chance Gasper Kokaj - PR, 12,700 results or Pjeter Boshi - PDK, 506 results or Mark Molla - PAA, 1,250 results or Ndreke Ndoci - LDK, 137 results, Mark Frroku - PKDSH
Berat District
- Fidel Ylli - PS, 112,000 results
- Genc Pollo - PD, 159,000 results
- Ermonela Felaj - PS, 39,100 results
- Eduard Shalsi - PS, 101,000 results
- Astrit Veliaj - PD, 111,000 results
- Nasip Naco - LSI, 110,000 results
- Eduart Bejko - PS, 2,770 results
- Artan Lame - PS, 97,300 results or Lefter Maliqi - PD, 53,800 results, Gledjon Rehovica - LSI
Lezhe District
- Aldo Bumci - PD, 162,000 results
- Mimi Kodheli - PS, 47,600 results
- Gjovalin Kadeli - PD, 47,100 results
- Armando Prenga - PS, 13,400 results
- Albina Deda - PD, 3,480 results
- Vasil Bicaj - PD, 1,800 results
- Arben Ndoka - PS, 19,300 results, Monika Kryemadhi - LSI
Diber District
- Sherefedin Shehu - PD, 20,500 results
- Shkelqim Cani - PS, 13,500 results
- Bedri Hoxha - PD, 22,400 results
- Roland Keta - PD, 7,430 results
- Ulsi Manja - PS, 4,370 results
- Ekrem Spahia - PLL1, 23,200 results, Perparim Spahiu - LSI
Gjirokaster District
- Arben Ahmetaj - PS, 99,700 results
- Genc Ruli - PD, 146,000 results
- Erion Veliaj - PS, 134,000 results
- Spiro Ksera - PD, 90,100 results, Vangjel Tavo - LSI
- Anastas Angjeli - PS, 49,900 results
Kukes District
- Flamur Noka - PD, 205,000 results
- Besnik Dushaj - PD, 4,380 results
- Vexhi Mucmataj - PS, 531 results
- Alban Zeneli - PD, 8,640 results
Notes
1 - Included in PD list
2 - Included in PS list